Game Information
St. Louis Cardinals (36-29) vs Toronto Blue Jays (35-30)
Time: 6:45pm CT Monday
How to watch: FanDuel Sports Network
Probable pitchers: Andre Pallante (4-3, 4.91 ERA) vs Jose Berríos (2-2, 3.67 ERA)
DraftKings Odds
Moneyline: Cardinals -115, Blue Jays -105
Total: 8.5 (over -110, under -111)
Redbirds, Blue Jays Battle At Busch
The St. Louis Cardinals continue their nine-game homestand when the Toronto Blue Jays visit Busch Stadium tonight for the first of three.
The Redbirds split six games with the Royals and Dodgers last week at home, continuing their solid performance against winning clubs. The Cards are 21-17 against teams with a record of .500 or better - that’s the second-best mark in the National League.
Can Pallante Bounce Back?
Andre Pallante will be on the bump tonight looking to rebound from his worst start of the season. The right-hander gave up 7 runs on 7 hits with just 2 strikeouts in 4.1 innings in a loss to the Royals on June 3rd.
Pallante allowed two home runs in that start, bringing his season total to 11. Only five pitchers in the National League have been taken deep more times than Pallante.
Blue Jays Are Surging
The Blue Jays come to St. Louis red-hot having won nine of their last eleven games. They have been swinging the bats well with an average of 6.27 runs per game during that stretch.
Their starting pitcher tonight Jose Berríos has also been in a good run of form. The right-hander has posted quality starts in each of his last four outings and in six of his last seven. Over his last eight starts, Berríos has an ERA of 2.85.
My Pick
The one aspect of tonight’s game I’m most confident about is that Pallante will give up at least 2 earned runs. The Blue Jays’ bats are sizzling right now, and Pallante has permitted at least 2 earned runs in 11 of his 12 starts this season.
Pallante allowing 2+ earned runs is priced at -270 on DraftKings, meaning I want to pair it with another aspect of the game to bring the odds down to something worthwhile to bet.
I’ve landed on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to have at least 2 combined hits + runs + RBI. The Blue Jays star has achieved that mark in 67% of his starts this season, and after falling short of it yesterday with just 1 run scored, he is due to bounce back tonight. Guerrero is also 1-for-3 with a home run lifetime against Pallante.
Putting these two legs together gives you a Same Game Parlay at solid -110 odds.
Pick: Same Game Parlay priced at -110 on DraftKings - Andre Pallante 2+ earned runs allowed AND Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2+ Hits + Runs + RBI (would not bet odds higher than -110)
Eric Sontag hosts Domesticated Gamblers every Friday on the STL Sports Central YouTube channel. Follow him on X @GamblingDads, and click here for his daily picks on all of our St. Louis area sports teams. Picks = betting the game - minus odds betting to win 1 unit, plus odds risking 1 unit. Leans = no strong opinion, not betting the game. Disclaimer