Game Information
St. Louis Cardinals (65-68) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (58-75)
Time: 6:45pm CT Wednesday
How to watch: FanDuel Sports Network, FS1
Probable pitchers: Sonny Gray (12-6, 4.33 ERA) vs Carmen Mlodzinski (3-7, 3.89 ERA)
DraftKings Odds
Moneyline: Cardinals -175, Pirates +143
Total: 7.5 (over -101, under -121)
Cards, Pirates Meet Again
The St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates play the third of their four-game series tonight at Busch Stadium.
Pittsburgh won last night’s game 8-3 and now leads the season series over the Redbirds 6-5.
Sonny In St. Louis
It has been rough going for tonight’s St. Louis starter Sonny Gray since the All Star break. He has notched only 2 quality starts from his 7 outings and has posted a 6.75 ERA during that stretch.
Gray has pitched well against Pittsburgh this season with a 2-1 record, 2.45 ERA, and 0.66 WHIP in 3 starts. He is also backed by a Cardinals offense that has contributed to the over going 8-1-1 over the last 10 games.
Pirates Swinging The Bats Well
Gray is facing a Pittsburgh team that is in good offensive form with 32 runs scored over the last 5 games. The Pirates have won 5 of their last 6 and are 19-14 since July 21st.
Carmen Mlodzinski will start the game for Pittsburgh. The right-hander won’t go very deep, as he has pitched 2 innings or less in 7 of his last 9 appearances. But Mlodzinski is on a good run right now with just 3 earned runs allowed over 20.2 innings in those 9 games.
My Pick
Not only does this total seem a half-run too low to me, I’m also surprised to see the under with more juice than the over.
I’ll take the bait and would recommend a small play on the over. Cardinals games have been over festivals lately, Gray has been shaky for over a month now, and both offenses have been swinging the bats well recently.
Even if Mlodzinski continues his strong run, I think the Cards can do some damage against a Pittsburgh bullpen that ranks 19th in MLB in ERA.
Pick: Over 7.5 at -101 on DraftKings (bet to -110)
Eric Sontag hosts Domesticated Gamblers every Wednesday night on the STL Sports Central YouTube channel. Follow him on X @GamblingDads, and click here for his daily picks on all of our St. Louis area sports teams. Picks = betting the game - minus odds betting to win 1 unit, plus odds risking 1 unit. Leans = no strong opinion, not betting the game. Disclaimer