Missouri Tigers season win total odds on DraftKings
Wins: 7.5 (over +120, under -140)
Will Mizzou Surpass Expectations?
The Missouri Tigers kick off their season next week when they host Central Arkansas on Thursday, August 28th.
DraftKings has Mizzou’s season win total set at 7.5 with some juice to the under.
Will the Tigers go over or under 7.5 wins?
Case For The Over
When I look at the schedule, I see six games that I can confidently predict a win or loss.
Wins:
Central Arkansas
Kansas
Louisiana
UMass
Mississippi State
Loss:
Alabama
I know Mizzou could lose the Kansas game, but the Tigers are already a 7-point favorite on DraftKings, and I just cannot see them losing that game at home with all the emotion that will be behind it.
I also know Mizzou has a chance to win their home game against Alabama, but we saw the gap in quality between the Tigers and Crimson Tide last year in Tuscaloosa. So I’m chalking that one up as a loss.
That gets Mizzou to 5-1, and then there are six games that I would consider toss-ups.
I don’t think you can count any SEC road game as a surefire win, so I have the away matchups with Auburn, Vanderbilt, Oklahoma, and Arkansas as games that can go either way. I also think the home games with South Carolina and Texas A&M will be absolute dogfights.
If the Tigers split those six toss-up games, that cashes the over with a record of 8-4.
Case For The Under
Mizzou went 10-1 in one-score games over the last two seasons. If regression happens and they lose more close games than they win, the Tigers will almost certainly go under 7.5.
The argument could also be made that Brady Cook was a winner and knew what it took to come out victorious in those tight games, and now Mizzou has two unproven quarterbacks duking it out for the starting job in Beau Pribula and Sam Horn.
My Pick
I see the argument for the under, but Eli Drinkwitz gets the benefit of the doubt from me until further notice.
Drinkwitz is an excellent recruiter and motivator. I believe he has created a winning culture, and I don’t think that disappears just because Cook is no longer the quarterback.
The defense should be a strength. I love the addition of running back Ahmad Hardy, and whoever emerges as the starting QB, I trust Drinkwitz will make the right choice.
8-4 is the Tigers' most likely record this season in my opinion, so I would bet the over 7.5 at plus money. I also think 9-3 is in play and is a more likely record than 7-5.
The Tigers’ STP motto suits them perfectly, as they have something to prove in the SEC every season. Here’s thinking they prove the oddsmakers and media wrong once again.
Pick: Over 7.5 wins at +120 on DraftKings (bet to +100)
Let us know your thoughts in the comments. Does Mizzou go over or under 7.5 wins?
Eric Sontag hosts Domesticated Gamblers every Friday on the STL Sports Central YouTube channel. Follow him on X @GamblingDads, and click here for his daily picks on all of our St. Louis area sports teams. Picks = betting the game - minus odds betting to win 1 unit, plus odds risking 1 unit. Leans = no strong opinion, not betting the game. Disclaimer